colwag wrote: stochasticism wrote: mindsuckr wrote: With events like Oscorp or Hulk being post-event vaults, they reset every time you pull from them, correct? You gain the advantage of a 1/80 odds on a leg token every token, but lose the advantage of increasing odds on the leg token with each pull making the pool smaller. Do you find the pro outweighs the con? You are trading a very small probability of getting multiple legendaries for a much higher number of 2* over a large number of pulls. Does that sound like a trade you want to make? The guy had 4 tokens in his vault events. The odds of getting a Gold cover were not getting much better with only 4 tokens. And if they're looking mainly for specific 4* covers, cycling vaults until you get one (or two, if you're greedy) that you want will give you much better odds of getting what you want compared to just going for the 1/77 Legendary odds.
stochasticism wrote: mindsuckr wrote: With events like Oscorp or Hulk being post-event vaults, they reset every time you pull from them, correct? You gain the advantage of a 1/80 odds on a leg token every token, but lose the advantage of increasing odds on the leg token with each pull making the pool smaller. Do you find the pro outweighs the con? You are trading a very small probability of getting multiple legendaries for a much higher number of 2* over a large number of pulls. Does that sound like a trade you want to make?
mindsuckr wrote: With events like Oscorp or Hulk being post-event vaults, they reset every time you pull from them, correct? You gain the advantage of a 1/80 odds on a leg token every token, but lose the advantage of increasing odds on the leg token with each pull making the pool smaller. Do you find the pro outweighs the con?
stochasticism wrote: Selection bias. Nobody posts about their awesome 1/9 pulls or their super great 2/15 pulls. You better believe, though, that when someone pulls 8/32 and transforms their roster in one day that it will get posted, read, and remembered.
evil panda wrote: Now I know who took my 5* pulls. Please come to my alliance and CP me up in compensation
blargrx wrote: Nice! I'm also a hoarder of tokens. Did you open all of your tokens in the order listed or jump back and forth between different vaults, events, standard and heroic tokens?
El Satanno wrote: stochasticism wrote: Selection bias. Nobody posts about their awesome 1/9 pulls or their super great 2/15 pulls. You better believe, though, that when someone pulls 8/32 and transforms their roster in one day that it will get posted, read, and remembered. As Simonsez pointed out later (with greater venom) you can't really accuse me of selection bias. I've been posting my hauls for months now, both good and bad. Sorry.